Testing The Indonesian Stock Market Arbitrage Pricing Model
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.24912/jm.v27i1.950Abstract
This research aims to explain the return and risk premium using an APT model from the Indonesian stock market. The study uses a two-stage regression model. This study uses a sample of stocks included in the Kompas100 index. The stocks included in Kompas100 represent the market capitalization value from the Indonesian stock market. The originality of this research is the inclusion of foreign macro-factors and the use of surprise or unanticipated factors in the Pre-specified Macro-economic Arbitrage Pricing Theory Model. The results prove that there is a multi-factor APT model consisting of The risk premium for inflation, the risk premium for interest rates, and the risk premium for foreign macroeconomic factors represented by the Dow Jones index and the Shanghai index. The results of this study further strengthen the theory and previous research on the multi-factor APT model.
References
Amata, E. O., Muturi, W., and Mbewa, M. (2016). Relationship Between Macro-Economic Variables, Investor Herding Behaviour and Stock Market Volatility in Kenya. International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management, IV(8), 37–54.
Assagaf, A., Murwaningsari, E., Gunawan, J., and Mayangsari, S. (2019). The Effect of Macro Economic Variables on Stock Return of Companies That Listed in Stock Exchange: Empirical Evidence from Indonesia. International Journal of Business and Management, 14(8), 108. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v14n8p108.
Celebi, K., and Hönig, M. (2019). The Impact Of Macroeconomic Factors On The German Stock Market: Evidence For The Crisis, Pre-And Post-Crisis Periods. International Journal of Financial Studies, 7(2). https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs7020018.
French, J. (2017). Macroeconomic Forces and Arbitrage Pricing Theory. Journal of Comparative Asian Development, 16(1), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1080/15339114.2017.1297245.
Gwahula, R. (2018). Examining Key Macroeconomic Factors Influencing the Stock Market Performance: Evidence from Tanzania. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 8(2), 228–234. https://doi.org/10.6007/ijarafms/v8-i2/4315.
Hidayat, R., Lubis, E. A., Rusiadi, Novalina, A., Sanusi, A., Siahaan, A. P. U., Rangkuti, D. M., and Nasution, L. N. (2018). Multi-Factor APT Approach Towards Predicted Patterns Of Long-Term ASEAN Financial Market Integration. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology, 9(12), 1006–1015.
Ihsan, M., Ali, K., Elgiziry, M., and Mostafa Awad, M. (2017). Test Of The Arbitrage Pricing Theory In The Egyptian Stock Exchange. Finance, Entrepreneurship, Accounting and Transport, 5(1), 30–38. https://doi.org/10.12691/jbe-5-1-4.
Khudoykulov, K. (2017). The Analysis Of The Arbitrage Pricing Model On The Stock Return: A Case Of Athens Stock Market. American J. of Finance and Accounting, 5(1), 51. https://doi.org/10.1504/ajfa.2017.10007016.
Mahdy F. Elhusseiny, Nyakundi M. Michieka, and Benjamin Bae. (2019). An Empirical Examination of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory: Evidences from the U.S. Stock Market. Journal of Modern Accounting and Auditing, 15(2), 69–79. https://doi.org/10.17265/1548-6583/2019.02.002.
Michael, S., Alexander, A., Adepoju, A., Market, C., and Stability, E. (2021). Capital Market Performance and Macroeconomic Dynamics in Nigeria. 1(1), 29–37.
Mohammad, J., and Elshqirat, K. (2019). An Empirical Examination of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory: Evidence from An Empirical Examination of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory: Evidence from Jordan. Journal of Studies in Social Sciences, 18(2), 46–67.
Mohammad Khaled Rahman, S., and Mazumder, P. (2021). Testing the Validity of Arbitrage Pricing Theory: A Study on Dhaka Stock Exchange Bangladesh. Financial Risk and Management Reviews, 7(1), 16–25. https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.89.2021.71.16.25.
Ndlovu, B., Faisal, F., and Gunsel Resatoglu, N. (2018). The Impact Of Macroeconomic Variables On Stock Returns: A Case Of The Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Romanian Statistical Review, 6(2), 171–190.
Nyanga, C., and Qutieshat, A. (2022). Progress Made Towards Consensus on Arbitrage Pricing Theory Macroeconomic Factors: A Brief Review of Literature. Open Journal of Business and Management, 10(02), 789–797. https://doi.org/10.4236/ojbm.2022.102044.
Obafemi, S., Mokuolu, F. T., and Oluseye, J. (2021). Robust Application of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory and the Test for Volatility in the Stock Market: Evidence from Nigeria. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 12(4), 1–9. https://doi.org/10.7176/rjfa/12-4-01.
Sakr, M., and Gebeily, E. M. (2016). Arbitrage Pricing Model; Determining the Number of Factors and Their Consistency Across Markets. Risk, 24, 42–64.
Torbira, L. L. and, and Agbam, A. S. (2017). Macroeconomic Risk Factors and Stock Returns : The Arbitrage Pricing Approach. Journal of Finance, Banking and Investment, 4(1), 41–71.
Worlu, C. N., and Omodero, C. O. (2017). A Comparative Analysis of Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Performances in Africa (2000-2015). International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 7(4), 95–102. https://doi.org/10.6007/ijarafms/v7-i4/3436.
Yadav, A. (2021). Arbitrage Pricing Theory and its relevance in modelling market Arbitrage Pricing Theory And ITS. 21(2).
Zunara, E., and Hartoyo, S. (2016). Analisis Pengaruh Faktor Makroekonomi terhadap Return dan Risk Premium Saham Menggunakan Model Arbitrage Pricing Theory. Jurnal Aplikasi Manajemen, 14(3), 546–556. https://doi.org/10.18202/jam23026332.14.3.15.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2022 Jurnal Manajemen
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
This journal provides immediate open access to its content on the principle that making research freely available to the public supports a greater global exchange of knowledge.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License